Mumm Market
What should this actually cost?
Sticker prices are opening bids. This is where deals like yours actually settle — from verified, settled negotiations, with the sample sizes to prove it.
That’s $3,109 above where deals settle.
81% of similar deals closed below your quote — it sits at the 81st percentile. Mumm's target: $42,100.
Based on 53 settled deals · last 180 days · 50% confidence
| Percentile | Price |
|---|---|
| 10th | $39,246 |
| 25th | $41,157 |
| Median | $43,391 |
| 75th | $45,745 |
| 90th | $47,973 |
If it doesn't close
Waiting three months likely saves ~$707.
Clearing prices are drifting down. The cone shows the honest catch: the further out, the wider the range — patience buys a better median, not a guarantee.
| Month | Median | Range |
|---|---|---|
| Aug '25 | $45,564 | $43,642–$47,570 |
| Sep '25 | $44,634 | $42,751–$46,599 |
| Oct '25 | $44,366 | $42,495–$46,320 |
| Nov '25 | $45,252 | $43,344–$47,245 |
| Dec '25 | $45,040 | $43,140–$47,023 |
| Jan '26 | $44,778 | $42,890–$46,750 |
| Feb '26 | $44,595 | $42,715–$46,559 |
| Mar '26 | $44,669 | $42,785–$46,635 |
| Apr '26 | $44,862 | $42,970–$46,837 |
| May '26 | $44,627 | $42,745–$46,592 |
| Jun '26 | $43,807 | $41,959–$45,736 |
| Jul '26 | $43,391 | $41,561–$45,301 |
| Aug '26 (projected) | $43,027 | $41,909–$44,146 |
| Sep '26 (projected) | $42,786 | $41,203–$44,369 |
| Oct '26 (projected) | $42,684 | $40,635–$44,732 |
| Nov '26 (projected) | $42,700 | $40,181–$45,220 |
| Dec '26 (projected) | $42,785 | $39,790–$45,780 |
| Jan '27 (projected) | $42,868 | $39,396–$46,340 |
Where the deals are
Savings run different in every state.
Median verified savings off asking price, by state. Click a state to scope every chart on this page to it.
| State | Median savings | Settled deals |
|---|---|---|
| Vermont | — | 2 |
| New Jersey | 9% | 34 |
| North Dakota | — | 2 |
| Colorado | 9% | 19 |
| South Carolina | 9% | 15 |
| Alabama | 9% | 27 |
| Pennsylvania | 9% | 70 |
| Illinois | 9% | 52 |
| Arkansas | 8% | 12 |
| Wyoming | — | 3 |
| Delaware | 8% | 6 |
| South Dakota | — | 3 |
| Kentucky | 8% | 24 |
| Kansas | 8% | 14 |
| Maine | — | 5 |
| Nevada | 8% | 15 |
| Hawaii | — | 5 |
| Wisconsin | 8% | 21 |
| New Hampshire | 7% | 7 |
| Florida | 7% | 106 |
| California | 7% | 152 |
| Mississippi | 7% | 13 |
| Minnesota | 7% | 26 |
| Rhode Island | — | 4 |
| Oklahoma | 7% | 20 |
| Montana | — | 5 |
| New Mexico | 7% | 12 |
| Alaska | — | 4 |
| Iowa | 7% | 16 |
| Maryland | 7% | 30 |
| Ohio | 7% | 32 |
| Virginia | 7% | 30 |
| District of Columbia | — | 2 |
| Idaho | 7% | 7 |
| Oregon | 6% | 16 |
| Massachusetts | 6% | 26 |
| New York | 6% | 58 |
| Michigan | 6% | 32 |
| Arizona | 6% | 36 |
| Washington | 6% | 30 |
| Tennessee | 6% | 25 |
| Utah | 6% | 13 |
| Missouri | 6% | 35 |
| West Virginia | — | 5 |
| North Carolina | 6% | 53 |
| Connecticut | 6% | 18 |
| Texas | 6% | 114 |
| Nebraska | 5% | 8 |
| Louisiana | 5% | 16 |
| Indiana | 5% | 35 |
| Georgia | 5% | 63 |
The receipt
This is what done looks like.
If Mumm settles this Tesla Model Y LR at the 32nd percentile — a routine outcome, not a best case — here's the receipt you'd share.
Deal receipt
July 12, 2026
2026 Tesla Model Y Long Range
$41,830
$46,500
Saved $4,670 · 10%Based on 53 settled deals · verified savings, not list-price theater.
Want the real thing?
Every number on this page comes from settled negotiations. Yours can be one of them — you pay only a share of verified savings.
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